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04 Apr

Posted at 23:39h in Uncategorized

Key Judgements: It is highly likely that President Sandu will be re-elected in upcoming presidential election of 2024. (High confidence) It is Almost certain that re-elected President Sandu would attempt to join EU, aiming to become a member state within the next 10 years. (High confidence) It is...

02 Apr

Posted at 23:21h in Uncategorized

Key Judgements: The German-Swedish manufactured Taurus KEPD 350 is an extremely versatile missile system that could be operationally, tactically and strategically be beneficial to the Ukrainian Armed Forces if it is given the green light to be deployed to Ukraine by Germany. The Ukrainian military...

15 Mar

Posted at 18:59h in Uncategorized

Key Judgments: It is likely that negative market sentiment will drive inflationary pressures in the next 12 months. (High confidence). It is likely that the Bank of England will not cut interest rates in the next 12 months. (Low confidence). It is highly likely that...

08 Mar

Posted at 23:47h in Uncategorized

Key Judgement: Within the next three months, it is likely that political disruption of current administration would be continue. It is likely that current government would not strongarm farmer protest. The current Polish Prime Minister, who first ascended to power in 2007, initially gained recognition...

24 Feb

Posted at 00:48h in Uncategorized

Topic: An analysis of the targeted killing of Russian defector Maxim Kuzminov in Spain and online Russian disinformation campaigns in Western and Southern Europe: What effects do these events have on the security of Western and Southern Europe? Key Judgements: Maxim Kuzminov is highly likely to...

20 Feb

Posted at 00:22h in Uncategorized

Key Judgments: The Houthis’ capability to attack subsea cables in the Red Sea is dependent on Iranian intelligence. There is a realistic probability that the subsea cables will be attacked. Severe disruption, however, is unlikely. Since October, the Houthi militants have captured the world’s attention...

13 Feb

Posted at 19:30h in Uncategorized

Belarus For the past month, Belarus has conducted mass raids, interrogation and arrest against political prisoners and its friends and relatives. According to Vasana Human Rights Centre, Belarusian human rights group reported that this is one of the most serious crackdowns in recent years. In late...

02 Feb

Posted at 00:45h in Uncategorized

Israel has a long history of conflict with Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), all of which are designated as terrorist organizations by Israel and other nations. Israel has recently been conducting targeted operations to remove key individuals within these organisations' leadership....