Summary
On 1 June 2025, Ukrainian forces conducted a coordinated FPV-drone strike against five Russian air bases located deep within the country. The targets included strategic long-range bombers – notably the nuclear-capable Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 – as well as A-50 … Read the rest
Key Judgements
Summary
Presidential elections were held in Poland and Romania on 18 May. In Romania, the independent, pro-European candidate Nicușor Dan, … Read the rest
The regional threat level remains ELEVATED for vessels operating in or transiting through the Arabian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz and Northern Arabian Sea due to growing geopolitical tensions and a rapidly evolving security environment. The nearly two-week conflict saw tensions significantly escalate between Iran and Israel, with US involvement intensifying the situation. As of 24 June, the impact on shipping operations remains relatively limited and vessel traffic remains largely unaffected – the Strait of Hormuz remains open with maritime traffic flows continuing. These conditions could change quickly and vessels transiting or planning to transit the region in the coming days are advised to assess the security situation prior to entering the area, should be prepared to act on short-notice intelligence, and should ensure that crew are briefed on potential escalation scenarios.
Download PDF Report →The threat level remains ELEVATED for vessels operating in or transiting through the Arabian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz and Northern Arabian Sea due to the uncertainty within the current environment. The situation in the region is unfolding rapidly and security conditions, including those impacting maritime shipping, could evolve and change quickly with little notice. As of 17 June, the impact on shipping operations in the region remains relatively limited and vessel traffic remains large unaffected – the Strait of Hormuz remains open with maritime traffic flows continuing. These conditions could change quickly and vessels transiting or planning to transit the region in the coming days are advised to assess the security situation prior to entering the area and adjust security protocols accordingly.
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