The Middle East’s complex situation remains uncertain, with its origins profoundly rooted in the Palestinian conflict. Despite continuous diplomatic interventions and negotiations, the region has yet to achieve lasting peace. Ten months into the conflict, mediators continue to facilitate discussion … Read the rest
Key Judgments:
- It is highly likely that Iran is enriching uranium to near weapons-grade levels (90%), significantly increasing the
Ukraine invasion into Russia
Key Judgement:
- It is highly likely that Ukrainian offensive would damage Russian war capability.
- It is
UKMTO has confirmed an attack on a vessel transiting the Gulf of Aden region. On Friday 26 January, an oil tanker caught fire after a missile attack by Houthi militants.
On Wednesday 17 January, UKMTO received a report of an attack on a merchant ship 60 nautical miles southeast of the port city of Aden, Yemen, in the middle of the western Gulf of Aden. This latest incident comes as the United States has carried out a number of strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen in recent days. However, Houthi rebels have continued to target merchant shipping in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.
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