MS Risk Limited

09 Oct Libya’s Perpetual Instability: Domestic Drivers and Foreign Involvement

Posted at 22:02h in Uncategorized

Violent clashes that took place in Libya during August made apparent the country’s chronic instability. With the internationally backed stabilization and unification process deadlocked, a multitude of armed militias are competing for influence throughout the country, making such violence inevitable. Meanwhile, due to their conflicting...

18 Sep Guatemala: Between Political Instability and Hope

Posted at 19:15h in Uncategorized

The 2023 presidential elections in Guatemala took place in a climate of mistrust of the elites due to numerous irregularities and several convincing cases of corruption, prompting voters to turn to a left-wing candidate with a progressive, anti-corruption programme: Bernardo Arévalo. Nevertheless, this victory did...

25 Aug Intra-Palestinian Clashes in Lebanon: Causes and Regional Implications

Posted at 21:20h in Uncategorized

Violent clashes broke out in the Ain el-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp in Lebanon from late July until early August between Fatah and hardline Islamist factions. Although rooted in local struggles for control of the camp, the events could further weaken Fatah to the benefit of...

21 Aug US Gun Violence

Posted at 21:13h in Uncategorized

How the July 4 2023 shootings exemplify why national holidays and public celebrations are a prime target for mass shootings and how global warming is adding to this problem. Gun violence and mass shootings have been commonplace across the United States throughout 2023. Public holidays such...

15 Aug Tensions in the Gulf between US and Iran on the Rise

Posted at 18:52h in Uncategorized

Tensions in the Gulf between the US and Iran have been increasing since April, due to a series of ship seizures by Iran that have led to more US military deployments in the region. Iran likely seeks to deter the US and its allies from...

11 Aug Mexico Sees Resurgence in Gang Violence

Posted at 20:56h in Uncategorized

Mexico has seen a dramatic resurgence in gang violence since June 2023 despite the quiet of the last two months Cartel violence in Mexico has shown a dramatic increase since mid-late June 2023 from the low numbers of reported crime in April and May 2023. The...

11 Aug Brazil: Political leadership and challenges in the Amazon

Posted at 18:41h in Uncategorized

At the start of Lula Da Silva's term in office, observers feared that there would be great political instability due to the fracturing of society between the left and the right, which proved to be the case. However, the ousting of Jair Bolsonaro at the...

17 Jul Guatemala: Voter’s fatigue and security perspective

Posted at 23:24h in Uncategorized

Voters went to the polls on 25 June for the first round of the presidential election, organised every 4 years. The second and final round, scheduled for 20 August, will determine the next President of the Republic after Alejandro Giammattei. These elections took place in...

23 Jun Israel’s May 2023 Gaza Operation: Tactical Success, But Strategic Situation Unchanged

Posted at 22:26h in Uncategorized

The five-day clashes between Israel and Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip last May can be considered a tactical success for the Israeli side. The fighting and subsequent ceasefire also affirmed Egypt’s crucial mediating role and Hamas’ reluctance to directly confront Israel. Still, since Israel’s...

20 Jun Implications of the end of ‘Title 42’ on Migration

Posted at 23:37h in Uncategorized

The removal of ‘Title 42’ has decreased the severity of the migrant crisis that has been continuing throughout 2022 and early 2023, however it has now become more dangerous for migrants to move through Mexico to reach the border. The end of the U.S COVID-era border...