Recent Blog Posts

• A Truce of Competing Blockades: The April US–Iran Ceasefire and the Contest for the Strait of Hormuz

  Posted on June 10, 2026

  Key Judgements

  • The 7–8 April US–Iran ceasefire is likely the most consequential diplomatic arrangement of the 2026 Iran war, as

  … Read the rest

• Russian Drone and Missile Production and Implications for Eastern European Security During May 2026 

  Posted on June 9, 2026

  Key Judgements 

  • Russia has significantly expanded its domestic drone production capacity, allowing it to sustain larger and more frequent … Read the rest

• Redefining Transatlantic Security: Strategic Uncertainty and Europe’s Defence Adjustment

  Posted on June 3, 2026

  Key Judgements

  • The U.S. is fundamentally redefining its security relationship with Europe, shifting from an institutional alliance model towards a

  … Read the rest