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    • It is likely that current Moldovan administration would win presidential election and EU referendum on 20 October. It is unlikely Russian interference would make significant change on the result of election.
    • It is highly likely that Russia and pro-Russian movement

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    Recent Posts
    Russia’s Shadow Feet: An overview of the fleet, how they operate, and the threat they pose to Western and Southern Europe Posted on

    What is Russia’s shadow fleet and how big is it?

    According to the UK Government policy paper ‘The ‘Shadow Fleet’: … Read the rest

    Iran’s Economic Instability and Sanctions   Posted on

    Key Judgments:

    • It is highly likely that the increasing sanctions against Iran will result in it deepening its relationships
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    Security Updates
    Maritime Incident Summary (26 Jan 2024)

    UKMTO has confirmed an attack on a vessel transiting the Gulf of Aden region. On Friday 26 January, an oil tanker caught fire after a missile attack by Houthi militants.

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    Maritime Update (18 Jan 2024)

    On Wednesday 17 January, UKMTO received a report of an attack on a merchant ship 60 nautical miles southeast of the port city of Aden, Yemen, in the middle of the western Gulf of Aden. This latest incident comes as the United States has carried out a number of strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen in recent days. However, Houthi rebels have continued to target merchant shipping in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

    Download PDF Report →
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